The UFC 268 Betting Line Makes No Sense

Written by Noah Gagnon

Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington are set to square off in a rematch for the Welterweight title this Saturday, and I’m quite perplexed by the betting line. Usman is a -300 favorite, and judging off the first fight, I really don’t understand why that’s the case.

I rewatched the first fight today, and it was way closer than I thought. It could have easily been 3-1 Colby going into that last round, and he was arguably winning the fifth round until he got dropped by Kamaru in the final minute. So, how is Usman a 3/1 favorite after the first fight was so competitive?

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not trying to pick against the best pound-for-pound fighter on the plantet right now, I’m just saying the line seems a little steep. Both guys have looked impressive since the first fight, although Usman has fought two more times since Colby in that span. But still, is that enough to warrant being such a big favorite?

What I do know for sure about this fight, is that I will most definitely bet on the wrong guy. If I take Usman, Colby’s pulling off the upset. If I bet Colby, Kamaru’s gonna smash him worse than he did in the first fight. So, I sit here complaining about the line when in reality I’m just a doddering fool whose gonna be paying his bookie no matter who he bets on Saturday. Stop blaming the lines, dummy.

About the author

Noah Gagnon

19-year-old student. MMA Enthusiast. 2014 Bedminster Middle School Boys Mile Run Second Place. BJJ White Belt. Kind Guy.